X Poll for the carpet!

Here is a link to Jake’s company.

https://www.praxispolitical.com/jake-weigler/

I put in here the PDF’s from the D+5 numbers and D+10 numbers we ran for the fun of it.

Remember it is all about Get out the Vote - GOTVOregon.com

Oregon 2026 Model D5

209KB ∙ PDF file

Download

Download

Oregon 2026 Model D10

207KB ∙ PDF file

Download

Download

Fight Night in Eugene

The gloves came off in Eugene. Christine Drazan and Governor Tina Kotek met for their first debate in the race for Oregon governor, and we’re breaking it down round by round. Who landed punches, who took hits, and did anything actually move the numbers? We go through the key exchanges and the issues voters care about most, and look at where the race stands heading into the next round.

We break down the two races that look like matter in Oregon.

Also, if you want to fight socialism - come see Spencer Pratt in Oregon on October 14th! in Portland area 5pm-7pm for free. Sign up to get the exact location details at www.fightsocialismoregon.com

We had a few mic issues but tried to work through it.

https://www.paulevans.org/

Washington County Chair Kathryn Harrington resigns over a finger - Washington County is giving Multnomah county a run for their money on being the leftists and craziest in Oregon. https://www.oregonlive.com/washingtoncounty/2026/09/washington-county-chair-kathryn-harrington-resigns.html

Trump bans press from White House - Obama tried to ban Fox News from the White House too.

No hurricanes - why climate change people are not cheering? Democrats want more disaster to blame climate change. Wildfires, etc. https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/historically-quiet-atlantic-hurricane-season-super-el-nino

What is the Republican message this election season Reagan?

Ducks or USC game Friday - Ducks are always a disappointment - Us Beaver fans are used to it…

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Getting into a infrastructure discussion with Reagan

Are Leg Days worth it?

Drazan and Kotek race tightens - who will win?

https://www.opb.org/article/2026/09/15/oregon-governors-race-tina-kotek-christine-drazan-poll/

- Wildfire season hopefully is getting a real great relief from some rain. Wet fall would be good!

Owens Article - https://www.wweek.com/news/state/2026/08/17/this-harney-county-republicans-district-covers-37-of-oregon-much-of-it-is-burning-this-summer/

Farm Stands to the Rescue! From Drain to Culver - https://www.opb.org/article/2026/09/01/drain-farmstand-fresh-produce-option-food-desert/

https://www.opb.org/article/2026/09/02/central-oregon-food-desert-culver-fresh-produce-grocery-store/

BYE VIKKI -

Messaging is not pushing through.

Democrats like to text - apparently and then leak them to reporters.

Group chat underscores divisions among Oregon Democrats after activist confronted state senator

Mayor wants free tri-met passes for city employees.

Portland mayor wants to give a free public transit pass to all city workers

Defending immigrant communities and enforcing Oregon’s sanctuary protections and

Immigrant Justice Package.

Holding corporations accountable to the commitments they make to Oregon

communities when they receive public dollars.

Protecting farmworker overtime and Oregon’s climate protections.

Advancing universal preschool statewide and supporting the model created by

Preschool For All in Multnomah County.

Expanding access to higher education.

Strengthening campaign finance transparency.

Investing in restorative justice and programs that reduce recidivism.

Creating family-sustaining jobs through clean energy, advanced manufacturing, and

major infrastructure projects.

Meeting with the Working Families legislative caucus during the legislative session.

Republican hits a moratorium - https://www.aol.com/articles/mike-rogers-backs-data-center-163141000.html

Wyoming Freedom Caucus gets blown out of the water by “normal republicans”. https://cowboystatedaily.com/2026/08/19/near-total-massacre-for-freedom-caucus-in-wyoming-primary/?_wcsid=0955982BE74EB562AADE248A11855AAADFCB2BB2EFF85D54

Burke doesn’t flinch. From the back-room fights over who gets nominated to the strategy wars over cross-nomination and fusion candidates, this is the real conversation about where the LP stands and where it’s headed.

In this episode:

• Blood in the party — the infighting, the power struggles, and what ultimately came to a conclusion.

• How the sausage gets made — candidate selection, cross-nomination, and whether fusion tickets help or hurt - Drazan gets the nomination

• The policy fault lines — the National Guard, war and foreign entanglements, and the fights libertarians can’t stop having

• Plus the obligatory Star Trek vs. Star Wars detour, because of course

The Oregon Capital Chronicle just trained its investigative lens on Christine Drazan and her nonprofit, cataloguing consulting payments and fretting about “little oversight.” Suddenly the flow of money between a politician and a nonprofit is a scandal — provided the politician is a Republican. Apply that same standard to the other side of the aisle and the story gets a lot bigger, a lot darker, and a lot more consequential.

Stand for Children Oregon is not a quiet charity. It is an advocacy powerhouse that lobbies aggressively for larger state education budgets, celebrates when the Legislature appropriates tens or hundreds of millions for literacy and high-school success programs, and then routes substantial political money through its own PAC into Democratic campaigns. The biggest beneficiary in recent memory was Tina Kotek’s 2022 gubernatorial race.Here is how the machine actually works.

Stand for Children Oregon PAC does not raise the bulk of its money from ordinary Oregon parents writing $50 checks. The dominant source is repeated, large transfers and in-kind support from its national parent, Stand for Children Inc., a 501(c)(4) “social welfare” organization. That national entity is under no legal obligation to disclose its donors. The result is a classic dark-money conduit: undisclosed sources feed the national 501(c)(4), which feeds the Oregon PAC, which feeds Democratic candidates. Recent ORESTAR filings make the pattern unmistakable. In 2025 and 2026 alone you can see six-figure cash contributions and valuable in-kind support — staff time, voter files, email lists, text-outreach lists — moving from Stand for Children Inc. into the Oregon PAC. One stretch shows transfers of $84,567, $45,162, $30,000, $21,000, $20,000, $15,000 and more, alongside ongoing in-kind personnel and data support. Individual donors exist, but they are secondary. The PAC is largely a pass-through for national money whose original sources remain hidden.That PAC then spends. It cuts checks to legislative Democrats, school-board candidates across the state, and, in 2022, delivered a major infusion to Kotek’s campaign. Earlier reporting put the Stand for Children Oregon support for Kotek in the hundreds of thousands of dollars when cash and in-kind are combined.

The same network that helps shape education policy is also helping elect the people who control the education budget.The policy side of the ledger is equally revealing. Stand for Children has been a central advocate for the state’s major targeted education investments — the High School Success initiative that followed Measure 98 and the more recent Early Literacy Success Initiative that secured tens to low-hundreds of millions in public funding. These are real dollars pulled from Oregon taxpayers. The organization that lobbies for those appropriations later spends political money supporting the legislators and the governor who deliver them.

The personnel overlap tightens the loop. Sarah Pope, executive director of Stand for Children Oregon, previously served as chief of staff at the Oregon Department of Education and as deputy superintendent at the Northwest Regional Education Service District. She helped implement the very strategic investments her current organization now champions and expands. That kind of experience is valuable. It is also a textbook revolving door between the public payroll and the private advocacy shop that pressures for more public spending while its PAC underwrites the Democrats who vote for it.None of this is illegal under Oregon’s anything-goes campaign-finance rules. Unlimited contributions are allowed. 501(c)(4)s do not have to name their donors. The same statutes apply to groups of every ideological stripe.

The problem is the selective application of scrutiny. When a Republican-aligned nonprofit pays a consulting firm, it becomes a front-page concern about oversight. When a left-leaning advocacy network extracts political power from public education policy, routes undisclosed national money into a state PAC, and delivers that money to Democratic candidates, the same outlets suddenly lose interest.This is not civic engagement in the pure sense. It is a closed influence circuit: help design and expand public education programs to harvest political donations from a non-disclosing national 501(c)(4); then elect the politicians who expand those programs further. Oregon taxpayers fund the programs. Oregon voters never get to see the original donors who ultimately help choose the politicians. They simply live with the higher spending and the one-party outcomes that result.

The Capital Chronicle had no difficulty spotting “little oversight” when the money moved inside a Republican orbit. Consistency demands the same rigor here. Stand for Children has turned public education policy into a political asset, moved dark money through its Oregon PAC, and used that money to support Democrats. The scale is larger, the duration longer, and the policy impact deeper than the story that recently received such focused attention.If “follow the money” only travels in one direction, it is not journalism. It is partisan enforcement.

Oregonians deserve the full ledger; every nonprofit, every PAC, every revolving door, every undisclosed national transfer, regardless of which party benefits. Until that standard is applied evenly, the loudest claims of accountability will remain selective, and the most sophisticated influence operations will continue to operate in the shadows they prefer.

Senate races across country are interesting:

Maine

Michigan

Ohio

Alaska

Texas

Iowa

Minnesota

Georgia

New Hampshire

North Carolina

What no one is talking about - Oregon.

State Governor Races:

Toss ups:

Nevada

Arizona

Georgia

Wisconsin

Iowa

Michigan

Leans R:

Kansas

Ohio

New Hampshire

Lean D:

New Mexico

Maine

New York

Pennsylvania

Minnesota

Oregon

Oregon Caucus Money:

House R - Elmer 145k/175k evergreen = $320k

House D - Future 1.1/$66k Fahey/$100k Bowman = $1.3

Senate D - Leadership $720/Wagner $120/ Jama $50k = $900

Senate R - Leadership $6k/Starr $150k = $150k

Bring Balance $4.5 million

IPO nominations are out:

US Congress

Chris Beck — OR 02

Andrea Salinas — OR 06

Oregon Senate

Clay Bearnson — SD 03

James I. Manning, Jr. — SD 07

Melisa (Lisa) Finkle — SD 16

Dawn Regier — SD 21

Oregon House

Pam Marsh — HD 5

David Gomberg — HD 10

Ivan Maluski — HD 11

Joanna Robinson — HD 15

Roy Kaufmann — HD 18

Tom Andersen — HD 19

Lesly Munoz — HD 22

Sue Rieke Smith — HD 26

Brian Schimmel — HD 29

Cyrus Javadi — HD 32

Jules Walters — HD 37

April Dobson — HD 39

Pat Hubbell — HD 40

Thuy Tran — HD 45

Ricki Ruiz — HD 50

Emerson Levy — HD 53

• Crosstabs Merch

• Hillsboro data center story

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• Washington County Legislative Contests Are Nail-Biters, but the Late Votes Lean Left | Willamette Week

• Oregon Election Results

Bryan and Reagan discuss The Oregonian’s poll in the Portland Metro area and make a couple of (not that bold) predictions about the primary election on Tuesday, May 19th, 2026.

Oregonian poll topline from DHM research
Oregonian poll crosstabs with DHM research